(Unknowingly) Walking Into the Abyss
"How do people afford houses in this crazy market? Do this many people really make that much money?" This is a question I received from a friend last night, courtesy of her mom, Leslie. Thanks, Leslie, for this fantastic topic!
In short, people can't afford them, and no, they don't make that much money. Some can, and some do, but not most. In my work with hundreds of families and watching the data closely, a few other factors are at play.
First, I'll start with what a healthy home ownership situation looks like. Ideally, a family's house payment would cost less than 25% of their take-home income. When that happens, there's enough margin to pay for needs, enjoy some wants, give, save, and invest for the future. There's a balance in the force.
However, with the combination of higher interest rates and increased prices, today's housing market has posed a different dynamic for families. Instead of house payments absorbing 25% of take-home incomes, people are commonly buying houses with corresponding payments at 40%-60% of their take-home income.
When this happens, something has to give. Families aren't going to stop eating food. And they aren't going to completely stop buying wants. Typically, giving is the first thing to go. Sorry, gotta take care of me first! Next, retirement investing gets kicked down the road. After all, retirement isn't for a looooong time....it will have to wait. Then finally, saving gets pulled back. We'll address those future needs when the time comes.
This approach works.....for a while. Eventually, though, other things pop up. The car has issues. The kid breaks an arm. The A/C blows up. The dog eats a screwdriver. But there's not much margin in the budget and little-to-no savings for these types of situations. Out comes the credit card. Then it happens again a few months later. Then again in six months. Every so often, the credit card absorbs the extra costs. Then it's time to buy a new vehicle and there's no money saved. A new car payment!
But people can't just perpetually use debt to keep the train on the tracks, right? Well, yes and no. Eventually, the credit cards feel too heavy. That's when a little psychological hack comes into play. We'll get a HELOC on our house to "pay off the debt." The credit card debt has been shifted to the HELOC, which allows us to start using the cards again. And the cycle slowly repeats for decades.
There's no such thing as a free lunch, though. This is where it gets scary. Without knowing it, people are walking into the financial abyss. Baby Boomers and the Silent Generation grew up in an era with retirement pensions. Most knew a reliable retirement income would await them at a certain point in life. This system has drastically shifted, beginning with Gen X. Traditional pensions are much rarer, and most of us are now responsible for funding our own retirement.
As such, millions of Americans are walking into the abyss as we speak. They are busy living their lives, enjoying their lifestyles, and slowly building debt while not building retirement investments, not knowing the future looks very murky. They've already lost, but won't realize it until it's too late.
If I'm honest, these are the saddest situations to be invited into. There's nothing harder to watch than a couple realizing they have unknowingly walked into the abyss all these years, only to just now see the consequences of their unintended reality.
Does this resonate with you? If so, perhaps it's time to shift gears.....fast! Give a gift to your future self; you don't have to walk into the abyss.
To be continued....
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