Exposing the Secrets

As I was chatting with a friend yesterday, I noticed, in real-time, that the stock market hit a new all-time 155-year high (since 1870). Curious, my friend asked me a few questions.

"Didn't the stock market just tank?"

"No, it went down by about 10% and quickly bounced back to all-time highs......but nobody is talking about that part."

"Is the stock market up on the year?"

"Yes, by about 23% since January 1st. Up 34% in the last 12 months."

"I don't know. It seems impossible to get 9% like you always talk about."

"The U.S. stock market is up nearly 12% per year over the last 15 years."

"Did you get those types of returns?"

"Yes"

"How much time do you need to spend to do good like that?"

"5 minutes per year"

"How often do you make moves?"

"Never"

"Seriously, how do you know when to sell?"

"I haven't sold anything in over 20 years. I literally never make moves."

"Tell me your secrets!"

"There's no secret, really. Invest in a total stock market index. Ignore the noise. Do nothing. Be extraordinarily patient."

"Yeah, but what else?"

"I do nothing else."

"What are the chances of losing money doing it your way?"

"It's not MY way, but it is a good way. There's never been a 15-year period in the history of the U.S. where the U.S. stock market lost money. Never. You’re 30. Statistically speaking, based on history, there’s zero chance of you losing money on your current investment portfolio by age 45 if you’re invested in the broad market.

"It seems too good to be true."

"The simplest answers often do, but the math is the math."

"Maybe I should try."

"Yes! Yes, you should!"

This turned into an odd post, but the conversation merits repeating. I have similar discussions at least 2-3 times per week. With so much noise in our culture around this topic, we must stress truth and simplicity. The overcomplication of this matter leads to paralysis and poor decisions. Instead, when we shine the light on truth and make it simple, we can focus on what matters most:

• Invest broadly.

• Invest cheaply.

• Stay consistent.

• Don't get scared.

• Be patient.

• Do nothing.

• Live a meaningful life.

It's a simple but clean recipe for much success. Life is too short to worry about investments, trying to follow the next hot trend, or chasing your golf buddy's ridiculous stock tips. Simple is good.

If you have any questions, hit reply to this e-mail or leave a comment below on the webpage. I'm here to help! Have an awesome day!

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